NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

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The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next success of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is listed at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It was all over Kyle Busch as a top contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those drivers in McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His version mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sundaywe could inform you that the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. That includes a victory last August in the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position because race and has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this season also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second in the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he’s commanding.

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