NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

الثلاثاء ٢٧ أغسطس ٢٠١٩

After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last season, but both drivers will take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the course last season. This weekend, even if Harvick were to win, he’d join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races at a single track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances to win 2019 NASCAR Cup Series championship

In three of the previous four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win throughout last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s monitor is comparable to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have experienced similar success at those racks. Busch has won the previous two races in Richmond and 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the past six races at Richmond.

But unlike in these preceding races, all motorists will use a new car installment executed by NASCAR, one different from what we saw the previous two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season, teams will utilize a tapered spacer — and no ducts — for the very first time. They will use a 750-horsepower engine at Phoenix instead of the 550-horsepower engine at Vegas. NASCAR expects to see a well-handling car. The new bundle could close the gap Harvick and Busch have experienced on the field.

So much in two races with the marginally differing rules bundle of NASCAR, Ford contains five stage wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Harvick’s teammate, ford driver Aric Almirola, will be a sleeper driver. He was third in New Hampshire’s similar layout final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and he is liked by us in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: How to Succeed at betting on NASCAR in 2019

Odds to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (others) 500/1

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