NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

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The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and is the 9-4 favorite to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds after a strong start to his period that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and recent results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Plus it’s off to a powerful start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

Grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like ISM Raceway have been in his blood. His model has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you that the version is high on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR chances. He’s a goal for anyone searching for a massive payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win and went on to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He’ll also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar vehicle set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the very best Vegas favourite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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