UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW

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When it won’t be the largest combat sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the entire year. In addition to this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two extra name charms, contenders and entertaining battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have moved for all 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his thoughts on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite the first time these two scrapped and some naively anticipated the lineup could be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal problems, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the impact anticipated on the line. It is difficult to attribute bettors either, Cormier is currently 38-years-old, has been through some tough battles since their first meeting, and Jones won every aspect of the first battle. Expect something like – if not dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his preparation, Jones is the kind of fighter that rises to the occasion like few others. He, this is the greatest occasion. Cormier is his biggest rival and he’s the chance to regain the belt he never lost against him. That combination will lead to a tremendous performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Similar to the main event, this line hasn’t seen much motion. Given that the contrasting styles, that’s not hard to trust. There’s a contingent of people who think that Woodley will starch Maia with the first punch he yells. They could very well be correct. The other side of this coin is made up of people who believe that Maia can close the space, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They are right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and perform counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at entering the clinch if not under stress he should be able to create Woodley overlook once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that is a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s ability to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he has perfected the single leg to back take) and Woodley being the kind of man who likes to burst out of places will only hurt him after that happens. It is kind of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an excess buck (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley will not have the ability to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wishes to. The other choice is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ at Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable depends on which type of bettor you’re. In case you don’t have any difficulty throwing a massive lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at almost -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will probably be placing nearly 2-to-1 on a prop like Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a play relies on Evinger’s resilience. She’s taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she likely won’t return to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough beginning, there is an outside shot she can endure five minutes. However, even the prices for”Fight Begins Round 2″ and Cyborg Round two have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less appealing even to somebody who’s always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this struggle is taking place after both men have apparently passed their peak concerning durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best would be a thing to behold. This fight will return to space direction and in-fight choices. Lawler wants to be indoors, Cerrone would like to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will eventually see him get indoors and at the point, expect Cerrone to be far too willing to oblige him that the warfare he is searching for. While that will give us the type of fight we want to see, do not expect it to end well for Cerrone.

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