UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

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Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this battle career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a not many more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with complete power and relies on finishing opponents. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio for a more consistent outcome. On the feet both guys may have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the floor. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet using a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours top and control position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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